Branching Out


Making the most of Cycle 23

 

by Peter Parker VK3YE - first appeared in Amateur Radio, February 2000


You've read about the sunspot cycle in the text books - how it peaks approximately eleven years, and how more sunspots mean more ionisation and better HF propagation. Well, according to the pundits, 2000 is when it all happens and Solar Cycle 23 reaches its peak. This article tells how you can maximise your enjoyment of the coming years of high solar activity and good HF conditions.

What to expect

More of HF will be open longer. In low sunspot years 20, 15 and 17 metres go dead at night. When sunspots are high these bands remain open well after dusk. 10 and 12 metres, which open only briefly in low sunspot years, will provide international (DX) contacts almost daily. In peak years, 20 metres becomes almost a 24-hour DX band. The skip zones on 30 and 40 metres shorten with higher sunspots, making them reliable for short and medium distance intra and inter-state communications.

Six metre buffs also get excited during the high part of the cycle. Whereas you almost need to make a phone call to get a contact on six in the low years, on high-sunspot days the band bustles with DX. On particularly good days, the best six metre stations have contacted Europe, while operators running as little as one watt CW into makeshift antennas have worked into Japan.

Propagation paths change when sunspot numbers rise. It is normal for north-south paths (eg between Australia and Japan) to be open longer and later than east-west paths (eg to Europe or Africa). In sunspot years, most contacts made on 10 and 15 metres tend to be with Asian stations. However as the bands improve, a wider variety of locations, such as Europe and North America become workable on these bands.

Sunspot cycles rise faster than they fall. In an eleven year cycle, it may take four years to reach the top from the trough of the previous cycle, and six or seven years to get to the bottom from the top. This is good news as it means that though this cycle is expected to peak in a few months time, excellent HF conditions will remain for about the next three years. The graph below shows observed and predicted sunspot numbers for Cycle 23. See the IPS webpage for updates on the progress of the cycle.

High solar activity is not all fun and games - conditions can be very volatile. When sunspot numbers are high, solar flares become more frequent. After a severe solar flare the bands may go dead, and you may wonder if your rig still has an antenna connected to it.

Preparing for the coming cycle

When conditions are good, and you're on the right frequency at the right time, almost anyone can work DX. However, the higher HF bands are more fickle than bands such as eighty, two metres and seventy centimetres. Follow the four steps below to maximise your success.

Step One - Obtain information about solar activity and DX propagation.

Many amateurs enjoy working anyone anywhere. They might be testing a new antenna, seeing how far their low-powered signal will go, or just enjoy chatting to people. For these people, planning their operating is often merely a matter of tuning around and finding a band that's open.

Others specialise in working a particular part of the world, perhaps to gain points for an award, for a DX contest or to practice a language. For these people, success requires a more rigorous approach.

The first step is to find out the right frequencies and times for contacts to a particular location. Such information is provided in the prediction charts elsewhere in this magazine. Propagation charts are only a guide as conditions vary from day to day - one day, signals might peak at 6pm, the next day they might reach their strongest at 7pm.

Updates on solar activity are given on the WWV time and signal station. These are broadcast at 18 minutes past the hour on 2.5, 5, 10, 15 and 20 MHz. Near real-time propagation information also provided on various websites, some of which provide maps showing maximum useable frequencies by region and the progress of the 'twilight zone' around the globe. A search on 'Cycle 23', 'sunspots' or 'radio propagation' should reveal plenty of sites on the topic.

Computers are powerful tools for radio propagation forecasting and analysis. Programs that provide details of likely propagation given a particular set of solar conditions are available. A good way of testing them is to make use of the worldwide network of International Beacon Project (IBP) beacons on the higher HF amateur bands. IBP beacons share a single frequency on each band and are time-sequenced so that only one is transmitting at any given time. They transmit on 14.100, 18.110, 21.150, 24.930 and 28.200 MHz. IBP beacons initially identify at 100 watts and then drop power to 10 watts, 1 watt and then 100 milliwatts - a useful feature that allows one to quickly check band conditions.

Step Two - Erect antennas for the higher HF bands.

You'd be surprised how many amateurs own do-everything multiband transceivers, but miss out on many bands for the want of five dollars' worth of wire stuck up in the air. Dipoles, ground planes or half-wave verticals will get you started and can provide worldwide contacts at times.

If you like a particular band, erect a directive gain antenna, such as a yagi or quad. Such antennas can either be rotatable (usually made of telescoping aluminium tubing) or fixed direction, with wire elements slung between well-located poles or trees. Gain antennas have the following advantages compared to dipoles and verticals.

Not everyone can erect towers stacked with beams. Even if you're restricted to verticals or dipoles, there's plenty of things that you can do to improve your signal at the other end. These include:

Step Three - Know your station

Once you have some antennas and know the right times and frequencies to try, the next step is to assess if your station is capable of exploiting the propagation available. A full assessment is beyond the scope of this article, as it requires an advanced understanding of wave propagation, antenna gain, radiation angles and receiver noise. However, the following example should succeed in explaining the desirability of having reasonable expectations based on what propagation can provide.

After looking at propagation charts or a computer program you may conclude that 40 metres may currently be open to the US. Turning on your receiver may reveal strong signals from North America. However a full assessment (as mentioned above) is likely to disclose that expecting frequent North American contacts with five watts and a low dipole is unrealistic. You would get very disappointed very quickly if you were expecting regular contacts with North America using that dipole.

On the other hand, if your ambition is simply to span the Pacific occasionally with low power and are using an efficient, low-angle antenna (such as a high dipole or vertical) there is no reason why you cannot achieve your aim with a little persistence. The lesson here is to set reasonable objectives, and design your station so it can meet them.

Step Four - Polish your operating technique

You may have a good station and antenna installation, but will not be able to use it to its full potential unless you can properly adjust and operate your equipment.

People prefer to answer calls from stations with clean signals, and quality signals penetrate through interference better. See your transceiver's instruction manual for more detailed guidance on adjusting your particular rig.

After a while you will observe both certain consistent patterns of propagation (eg many strong European stations in the late afternoons on 20 metres) and significant day-to-day differences in conditions. Don't overlook the IBP beacon frequencies (given earlier) in case there is propagation but no activity.

One benefit of being in Australia is that when working DX (eg Europe, Japan, North America), there's many more of them than of us. This works to our advantage in several ways. Firstly, it makes overseas stations eager to work VK. Secondly, if you are calling DX stations (whether answering a CQ or tail-ending), the competition from other VKs/ZLs who may also be calling is relatively light.

Should I upgrade?

If you have a Novice Limited licence, Cycle 23 will be a non-event if you don't upgrade to at least Novice. If you don't act now, you'll need to wait another decade before you can take advantage of the next sunspot peak.

Limited licencees are a little better off. They have six metres all modes and ten metres FM. However, as the saying goes, six metres is not just a band - it's a way of life. You can spend days by the transceiver, and not hear a thing. Then after returning from a short absence, you're told you missed the biggest, greatest six metre opening there ever was! Six is like that - it waits for no one. 29 MHz FM is also fickle, and is markedly inferior to SSB when signals are weak.

To really take advantage of Cycle 23, Novice is an absolute minimum grade you should aim at. Intermediate grade is also worthwhile, because of the extra frequencies it provides on the 3.5, 21, 28 and 50 MHz bands.

As conditions decline, around 2002-2003, ten and fifteen metres will open less time each day. Twenty metres will once again become the main DX band. An unrestricted licence is particularly desirable in intermediate and low sunspot years because of the 20 and 40 metre privileges it provides. Access to the 12, 17 and 30 metre bands is also useful, especially when 20 metres is very crowded.

If you've just completed licence study, it is desirable to obtain your AOCP as soon as possible, while the knowledge and Morse is still fresh. If you've had a Novice or Intermediate licence for some time, and have to make a choice between studying and operating, I would suggest you enjoy the next couple of years on the air and obtain your Unrestricted when conditions start to decline and the middle and lower HF bands become more useful.

Conclusion

This article has, I hope, provided an introduction of what to expect from Cycle 23 and how you can take advantage of it. Many amateurs' most memorable contacts are made in high sunspot years such as this one. Prepare your station and make sure you get a fair slice of the action in the years ahead.

References and further reading

1. Weiss, A The Joy of QRP - Strategy for Success, Milliwatt Publications, 1984

2. ARRL Handbook, various editions.

3. Moxon, L HF Antennas for All Locations, RSGB, 1982

4. ARRL's Wire Antenna Classics, ARRL, 1999

5. IPS website: http://www.ips.gov.au


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This page was produced by Peter Parker VK3YE parkerp@NOSPAMalphalink.com.au. Material may be copied for personal or non-profit use only.