There is a terrible truth about global warming that few people seem
to recogize, or if they do, are able to face. If CO2
is the cause, and we want to reverse it, we would need to massively reduce
CO2 emissions. Not just a hopeful Kyoto type plateau
in emissions, but a severe reduction. Most
CO2 comes from the burning of coal for power production
and from the combustion of fuel for
transportation. To shift to alternatives on the scale required would
require a massive and
unprecedented redeployment of energy infrastructure worldwide.
But that is not the bad news. The bad news is that improved energy efficiency,
conservation,
together with all combined known renewable energy sources, wind, solar,
hydro etc. just will not and
will never come close to providing anything like a substitute volume
of energy production to that
which is currently provided by fossil fuels. There is quite simply
insufficient ambient renewable enery
at the earth's surface to enable harnessing of such energy on the scale
required ever to be feasible.
For example, to supply a typical city entirely by solar energy would
require a solar collector of a size
similar to the city itself, even on the best assumptions, and allowing
for storage via hydrogen
conversion.. The cost of that would be about 500 times more expensive
than the equivalent coal
fired plant, not including cleaning costs, maintenace and depreciation.
The very bad news is that unfortunately there is only one currently
known, technically feasible
technology that could do it. It would need to be used, not just for
power production, but also for the
production of hydrogen as a transportation fuel. It is a technology
where the power plants pose a
serious risk of widespread radiation contamination, which have highly
toxic waste products, which
last for centuries, for which there is no agreed means of disposal.
Further, the waste products can be used to manufacture weapons of mass
destruction. If this energy means was deployed to the
extent that would be required, the risk of serious accidents and of
the proliferation of weapons into
the wrong hands would be such as to seriously endanger the existence
of life on our planet.
But if CO2 causes global warming, the choice is cook or nuke.
It may be a surprise to most, because any mention of this is something
that is very studiously
avoided. For example how many times have you heard that Australia has
the highest per capita CO2
emissions? True. But why? Because we alone of the indusrialized countries
do not have any reliance
at all on nuclear power. Basic honesty would require that the reason
at least be acknowledged occasionally.
John L Perkins
BSc, MSc(Lond), PhD